Case Illustration: Computational Analysis

Understanding Policies (10700193-90)

Yue Hu

Tsinghua University

Overview

  • Big Models, Big Data
    • From the 6 Vs to LLMs
    • Computational analysis: description, relationship, pattern
  • Policy on data — amplified by AI/LLMs
    • Who owns the data (and the model)
    • Who accesses it (and the inference pipeline)
    • Who uses it to do — and to generate — what

Big Models, Big Data

The political meaning of the “Big-Data” (Computational) approach

大数据发展日新月异,我们应该审时度势、精心谋划、超前布局、力争主动,深入了解大数据发展现状和趋势及其对经济社会发展的影响,分析我国大数据发展取得的成绩和存在的问题,推动实施国家大数据战略,加快完善数字基础设施,推进数据资源整合和开放共享,保障数据安全,加快建设数字中国,更好服务我国经济社会发展和人民生活改善 (习近平 2017)。

What’s Big Data?

Big data usually includes data sets with sizes beyond the ability of commonly used software tools to capture, curate, manage, and process data within a tolerable elapsed time.

From the 6 Vs to LLMs

Big data’s 6 Vs

  1. Volume — petabytes of records
  2. Variety — text, image, audio, video
  3. Velocity — streaming, real-time
  4. Veracity — noise, bias
  5. Value — signal for decisions
  6. Variability — drift over time

What LLMs do with them

  1. Volume → trillions of tokens for pre-training
  2. Variety → multimodal models (text + audio + vision)
  3. Velocity → inference at conversational speed
  4. Veracity → alignment / RLHF to curb bias
  5. Value → emergent capabilities at scale
  6. Variability → continual fine-tuning, retrieval augmentation

Big data is the fuel; the architecture (e.g., transformer) is the engine.

Quiz: Data-based advantages?

“I established a CPC elite database containing extensive biographical and career information for over 20,000 positions with a unique number of 4,700 cadres, including all the members of the Central Committee and Provincial Standing Committee of the CPC from 1982 to 2020……”

“To provide a further test of the classic arguments on democracy and public support, we generated estimates of democratic support……assembling as much survey data on democratic support as possible. We employed 4,905 national opinions on democracy from 1,889 national surveys, representing a 32.0% and 37.3% increase respectively over the 3,716 opinions and 1,376 national surveys used in Claassen (2020a; 2020b).”

“We prompted an open-source LLM to read every provincial Government Work Report from 2000 to 2024 and return structured labels on policy priorities — producing a 300,000-paragraph, human-validated corpus that would have taken a research team of ten over a year to code by hand.”

Policy Analysis w. big data and big models

Sources

  1. Data from e-government, civil service hotlines, government-citizen interactions
  2. Official data from bureaus and departments
  3. Speeches, statements
  4. Traditional and new media
  5. Official document archives
  6. Judicial documents
  7. Multimodal policy data — audio & video transcribed at scale
  8. LLM-processed and LLM-generated corpora ……

Goals

  1. Initiation of the agenda
  2. Profile of policy makers
  3. Policy making process
  4. Logic of policy decisions and implementation
  5. Prediction of policy outcomes
  6. Policy evaluation ……

Methods

  1. Description (夯)
  2. Relationship analysis (拉)
  3. Pattern learning

Description

Description → relationship (Hu et al. 2022)

Description → patterns (Hu 2020)

1990

1990

1997

1997

Beyond words

Policy on data

AI/LLMs do not replace the three classical questions

—they amplify each of them.

Issues in the AI/LLM Era

  1. Who own the data (and the model weights)
  2. Who can access the data (and the inference pipeline)
  3. Who can use the data to do and generate what

Who owns the data: Data Responsibility

Who owns the training data?

The LLM era extends “whose data” from stored records to model memory:

  • NYT v. OpenAI (2023–): did OpenAI lawfully ingest copyrighted news to train GPT? (Pope 2024)
  • China’s “奥特曼案”: the 2024 Guangzhou Internet Court ruling held that an AI image service infringed when its outputs reproduced a licensed character (初萌 2021)
  • 生成式AI训练语料合规:《生成式人工智能服务管理暂行办法》requires providers to use “data with lawful source” and to respect personal-information and IP rights (生成式人工智能服务管理暂行办法 2023)

Once data are absorbed into model weights, ownership becomes provenance.

Who can access the data: information management

LLM-era access: new gates, new leaks

New “data” to access

  • Model weights (open vs. closed)
  • Training corpora
  • Inference APIs & rate limits
  • Embedding / vector stores

New ways access can fail

  • Prompt injection → exfiltration of system prompts or tools
  • Membership inference → recovering training records
  • Jailbreak → bypassing safety and policy controls
  • Shadow use → staff pasting confidential docs into public chatbots

Access control used to end at the database. Now it extends to every prompt and every response.

Who can use the data to generate what

Who can use the data to generate — and impersonate — whom

Laws and policies of information management

《宪法》《民法典》《刑法》
▼
网络安全法(CSL)
2017.6.1实施
数据安全法(DSL)
2021.9.1实施
个人信息保护法(PIPL)
2021.11.1实施
AI专项法规
▼
电信和互联网用户个人信息保护规定
2013.9.1实施
关键信息基础设施安全保护条例
2021.9.1实施
个人信息出境保护认证办法
2025征求意见稿
个人信息保护合规审计办法
2025.5.1实施
生成式人工智能服务管理暂行办法
2023.8.15实施
互联网信息服务深度合成管理规定
2023.1.10实施
人工智能生成合成内容标识办法
2025.9.1实施
三法共通(CSL · DSL · PIPL):网络数据安全管理条例(2025.1.1实施)

Policies of information protection

个人信息保护法 (PIPL)
网络安全法
数据安全法
关键信息基础设施安全保护条例
AIGC / 生成式AI治理
▼
网络数据安全管理条例
等级保护制度
数据分类分级
设施范围
算法备案
个人信息出境保护认证办法
运营者义务
数据处理安全
运营者责任
深度合成标识
个人信息保护合规审计办法
关键信息基础设施
跨境数据管理
安全措施
训练数据合规
配套细则
配套细则
配套细则
配套细则
生成内容审核

Take-Home Points

  • Big Models, Big Data
    • 6 Vs → the fuel of LLMs
    • Computational analysis: description (夯), relationship (拉), pattern
  • Policy on data — amplified in the AI/LLM era
    • Whose data (and whose model weights / training corpora)
    • Who accesses data (and the inference pipeline)
    • Who uses data to do and generate what

Big data feeds big models; the three classical questions now cover training, deployment, and generation.

Reference

Hu, Yue. 2020. “Refocusing Democracy: The Chinese Government’s Framing Strategy in Political Language.” Democratization 72 (2): 302–20. https://doi.org/10.1080/13510347.2019.1690461.
Hu, Yue, Yufei Sun, and Donald Lien. 2022. “The Resistance and Resilience of National Image Building: An Empirical Analysis of Confucius Institute Closures in the u.s.” Chinese Journal of International Politics 15 (3): 209–26. https://doi.org/10.1093/cjip/poac010.
Pope, Audrey. 2024. “NYT v. OpenAI: The Times’s about-Face.” Harvard Law Review, April 10.
习近平. 2017. 审时度势精心谋划超前布局力争主动实施国家大数据战略加快建设数字中国. 新华社.
初萌. 2021. “人工智能对版权侵权责任制度的挑战及应对.” 北方法学 15 (1): 138–50. https://doi.org/10.13893/j.cnki.bffx.2021.01.013.
生成式人工智能服务管理暂行办法 (2023).